Blockstart Research Proflex Series

Proflex Market Update - Wk 01 “Consensus sees crisis; we see opportunity in the capital flows that ignore it.” — Proflex Panel The year kicks off with a potent cocktail of geopolitical tension and shifting liquidity dynamics. The audacious capture of Nicolás Maduro has instantly reshaped the US-Venezuela narrative, injecting fresh uncertainty into global oil markets. Yet, beneath the headlines, the Fed is quietly expanding its balance sheet, while the AI trade, fueled by semiconductor giants,...

Proflex Market Update - Wk 50 Hawkish Cut & QE | Oracle Earnings | Bitcoin Reset Last week, markets rallied following the Federal Reserve's December 10 rate cut, pushing SPX to near all-time highs. The Federal Reserve delivered its third consecutive 25 basis point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate to 3.50%-3.75%. More critically, the Fed signaled it expects only one rate cut in 2026 versus three executed in 2025, suggesting the cutting cycle may be over. Fed Dotplot: One Rate Cut...

Proflex Market Update - Wk 48 Japan Yield Shock | Fed Cut Back in Play | Dec 2025 Outlook “The market is holding its breath. What appears calm on the surface masks a rising tide of global tension.” Last week, markets defied lingering anxieties, showing resilience with a notable uptick despite thin, holiday-week volumes. This rally, fueled by a sharp reduction in volatility post-options expiry, hints at underlying strength, yet crucial "demons" persist beneath the surface. Japan's 10Y...

Proflex Market Update - Wk 46 Global Liquidity Influx | AI's Resilience | Volatility's Last Stand "The greatest risk isn't overvaluation; it's underestimating the sheer force of incoming capital." This week saw markets grapple with lingering volatility and a fractured macro picture, yet a significant wave of global liquidity is quietly positioning the next leg higher. Global Liquidity Surges to Multi-Year Highs: Alpha Extract From Japan's massive stimulus to ongoing TGA drains and aggressive...

Proflex Market Update - Wk 44 Liquidity Squeeze | AI's Debt-Fueled Growth | Hard Assets' Resurgence "The market is battling a phantom QT, while the real narrative of AI and hard asset strength remains obscured by short-term noise." Last week saw the Federal Reserve cut rates for the second time this year, bringing the benchmark federal funds rate to a range of 3.75%–4.0% after an October 25-basis-point reduction. However, the real story lies beneath the surface. A quiet liquidity drain,...